Oscar Predictions 2016

In exactly 24 hours time, the awards season will be crawling to its end with the annual overlong pat on Hollywood’s back known as the Oscars. With this year set to be the year in which Leonardo DiCaprio will finally hear his name read out in something other than the list of nominees, why not whet your appetite by checking out my predictions for the awards. As usual, I’ve predicted what should win and what will win in tonights ceremony. Feel free to add your own predictions in the comments and look out for a possible tweetalong at @movie_mad internet permitting. For now though, the predictions:

 

Best Picture

The Revenant – Will

Room – Should

Best Director

Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant – Will

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road – Should

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant – Will

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs – Should

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Brie Larson, Room – Will

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn – Should

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies – Will/Should

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl – Will/Should

Best Animated Feature Film

Inside Out – Will/Should

Best Cinematography

Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant – Will

Robert Richardson, The Hateful Eight – Should

Best Costume Design

Sandy Powell, Carol – Will

Sandy Powell, Cinderella – Should

Best Documentary (Feature)

Amy – Will/Should

Best Editor

Margaret Sixel, Mad Max: Fury Road – Will/Should

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Lesley Vanderwalt, Elka Wardega and Damian Martin, Mad Max: Fury Road – Will/Should

Best Original Score

Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight – Will/Should

Best Original Song

‘Writing’s On The Wall’ Sam Smith, Spectre – Will

‘Simple Song 3’ David Lang, Youth – Should

Best Production Design

Colin Gibson (Production Design); Lisa Thompson (Set Decoration), Mad Max: Fury Road – Will/Should

Best Sound Editing

Mark Mangini and David White, Mad Max: Fury Road – Will/Should

Best Sound Mixing

Chris Jenkins, Gregg Rudloff and Ben Osmo, Mad Max: Fury Road – Will/Should

Best Visual Effects

Andrew Jackson, Tom Wood, Dan Oliver and Andy Williams, Mad Max: Fury Road – Will/Should

Best Adapted Screenplay

Charles Randolph and Adam McKay, The Big Short – Will

Emma Donoghue, Room – Should

Best Original Screenplay

Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley; Original story by Pete Docter, Ronnie del Carmen, Inside Out – Will/Should

NB. I’ve not predicted the winners for Best Documentary (Short)Best Foreign Language FilmBest Short Film (Animated) and Best Short Film (Live Action) because I’ve not seen all or enough of the nominees.

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Oscars 2015 – The Predictions

It’s that time of year again folks! Hollywood is just about finished patting themselves on the back with their annual awards season and, in under 24 hours, the Oscars will have begun. Before that though, there’s still time for me to give my thoughts and predictions on this years nominees. As usual, I’ll be choosing which nominees I believe should win and which, I predict will win.

NB. There are some omissions with certain categories due to the fact I’ve not seen many or indeed any of the nominees listed.

Best Film

Will/Should Win: Boyhood

There’s just no doubt that Richard Linklater’s 12 year project will scoop the main prize this year. While Whiplash is undoubtedly my favourite awards contender of the year and could very likely be my number 1 film when it comes to my top 10 in December, Boyhood is the closest I’ve seen to actual life being displayed on screen. A deserving win in my books.

Best Director

Will/Should Win: Richard Linklater – Boyhood

While some may view the main talking point of Boyhood‘s 12 year creative process as a bit of a gimmick, it bloody well worked! In a film in which, honestly, not much happens in the space of 3 hours, I barely noticed the time go by. That to me, is the work of a good director.

Best Actress

Will Win: Julianne Moore – Still Alice

Should Win: Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl

While the UK release date for Still Alice means I can’t see the film until after the Oscars, I’ve heard enough about Moore’s performance to know she’ll likely win. However of all the other performances, Pike is my favourite.

Best Actor

Will/Should Win: Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything

Having already won the BAFTA for his incredible performance, Redmayne will certainly walk away with an Oscar come tonight. His portrayal of Stephen Hawking still resonates with me nearly 2 months after seeing the film!

Best Supporting Actress

Will/Should Win: Patricia Arquette – Boyhood

As with Redmayne and Moore, her previous wins over awards season increases the likelihood that she’ll win tonight.

Best Supporting Actor

Will/Should Win: J.K. Simmons – Whiplash

His terrifying, career defining role is one of the strongest aspects of Whiplash! And I’m praying that when he accepts the award, the academy try to play him off only for him to throw a chair at the band for not being on his GODDAMN TIME!

Best Animated Film

Will Win: Big Hero Six

Should Win: The Boxtrolls

While I won’t be particularly upset when Big Hero Six wins (It’s Disney after all) I’ll still stand by my view that The Boxtrolls should win. Both are fantastically made animations – hell I’d even accept How To Train Your Dragon 2 winning (I’ve not seen Song of the Sea or The Tale of the Princess Kaguya so I can’t comment on those) –  but I’ll forever be in awe of the magic that Laika studios creates.

Original Screenplay

Will Win: Richard Linklater – Boyhood

Should Win: Dan Gilroy – Nightcrawler

Adapted Screenplay

Will/Should Win: Damien Chazelle – Whiplash

Let the record state however, that had Gone Girl been nominated I’d have put that as the one that should win. Whiplash will win either way though.

Cinematography

Will/Should Win: Mr. Turner

Mr. Turner didn’t so much for me in terms of it’s uninteresting story and bloated length, but there’s no denying the beauty that cinematographer Dick Pope has achieved. Literally every shot is a marvel to look at.

Costume Design

Will/Should Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

The only real competition in this category is the costume designs in Into The Woods. But I’ll be surprised if that beats The Grand Budapest Hotel.

Editing

Will/Should Win: Boyhood

12 years worth of footage is a lot to edit!

Makeup and Hairstyling

Will/Should Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Yes, Steve Carell’s transformation in Foxcatcher is incredible and yes the costumes in Guardians of the Galaxy are rather good, but The Grand Budapest Hotel will no doubt win.

Original Score

Will/Should Win: Hans Zimmer – Interstellar

Original Song

Will/Should Win: Eveything is Awesome – The LEGO Movie

This won’t heal the wounds left by the gaping hole from the lack of awesome/LEGOness in the Animated Feature category but it’ll certainly help…

Production Design

Will/Should Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Sound Editing

Will/Should Win:  Birdman

Sound Mixing

Will/Should Win: Whiplash

Visual Effects

Will/Should Win: Interstellar

And there we have it! Join me on twitter tonight/tomorrow morning at @movie_mad as I live tweet the ceremony!

2014 Oscar Predictions

Well it’s that time of the year again folks! This time tomorrow we’ll know what won, but for now have a look at some predictions. Below you’ll find my predictions for what will Will Win in most categories. However, as happens every year, The Academy does get it wrong every now and then. In my opinion at least. So I’ve very thoughtfully added what I believe Should Win in each Category:

Best Picture
12 Years a Slave – Will Win
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
– Should Win
Nebraska
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Actor
Christian Bale (American Hustle)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Wolf of Wall Street) – Should Win
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave) – Will Win
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress
Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County) – Will/Should Win 

Best Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips) – Will Win
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave) – Should Win
Jonah Hill (Wolf of Wall Street)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave) – Will Win
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County) – Should Win
June Squibb (Nebraska)
Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)

Best Director
Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street
David O. Russell (American Hustle)
Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity) – Will/Should Win
Alexander Payne (Nebraska)
Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)

Best Adapted Screenplay
John Ridley (12 Years a Slave)
Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke & Richard Linklater (Before Midnight)
Terence Winter (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Billy Ray (Captain Phillips)
Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope (Philomena) – Will/Should Win

Best Original Screenplay
David O. Russell and Eric Singer (American Hustle)
Bob Nelson (Nebraska)
Spike Jonze (Her) – Will/Should Win
Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack (Dallas Buyers Club)
Woody Allen (Blue Jasmine)

Best Animated Feature
The Wind Rises
Frozen
Will/Should Win
Despicable Me 2

The Croods
Ernest & Celestine
 

Film Editing
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
– Will/Should Win
12 Years a Slave

Best Song
“Alone Yet Not Alone” (Alone Yet Not Alone)
“Happy” (Despicable Me 2)
“Let It Go” (Frozen) – Will/Should Win
“The Moon Song” (Her)
“Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)

Best Original Score
John Williams (The Book Thief)
Steven Price (Gravity) – Will Win
Alexandre Desplat (Philomena)
Thomas Newman (Saving Mr. Banks)
William Butler and Owen Pallett (Her) – Should Win

Best Cinematography
Philippe Le Sourd (The Grandmaster)
Emmanuel Lubezki (Gravity) – Will/Should Win
Bruno Delbonnel (Inside Llewyn Davis)
Roger Deakins (Prisoners)
Phedon Papamichael (Nebraska)

Costume Design
American Hustle
The Grandmaster
The Great Gatsby – Will/Should Win
The Invisible Woman
12 Years A Slave

Makeup and Hairstyling
The Lone Ranger
Dallas Buyers Club – Will/Should Win
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

Production Design
American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby – Will/Should Win
Her
12 Years a Slave

Sound Editing
All is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity – Will/Should Win
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

Sound Mixing
Captain Phillips
Gravity Will/Should Win
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor
Inside Llewyn Davis

Visual Effects
Gravity –Will/Should Win
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

As you can see I have Gravity tipped to win the most awards this year including Best Film. But with such a rich choice, it seems the big awards could all be spread out well among different films. Gravity is of course worthy of winning Best Film but personally I’ll be keeping my fingers crossed for Her.

Join me from 01:30GMT on twitter as I live tweet the ceremony @movie_mad. I may be around from 11:30 live tweeting the red carpet a bit but it all depends on how much of Ryan Seacrest I can stand…

NB. There are some categories I haven’t predicted because I’ve not seen the films nominated. These include:

Best Foreign Film

Best Documentary Feature

Short Film Live Action

Short Film Animated

Documentary Short

The Oscar Nominations

OK so here we go. I’ve only been an avid fan of all things film for the last three or four years and last year I lost my Oscar virginity by nearly killing myself staying up around 48 hours in order to watch it in between work and school. After an agonizing day trying to get it clear in my head what films, actors etc deserved at least recognition for their work this past year. And so at 1.30pm GMT (5.30am in America. Why? Just Why?) I made sure I was sat in front of a computer watching the nominations being announced live.

So here’s just a selection of nominations the Academy got wrong this year:

Best Film

No Girl With The Dragon Tattoo. Although this wasn’t my favourite of 2011 it was bloody well worth a nomination at the very least. If not for Rooney Mara’s incredible performance as Lisbeth Salander or Trent Raznor and Atticus Ross’ equally invigorating score then at least for Fincher’s superb directing. Here is a man who’s bought us such delights as Fight Club and The Social Network and with TGWTDT he proves yet again that he is one of the greatest directors of our time.

And please somebody explain to me what the fuck is The Tree Of Life doing in this category?

Best Actor

Where are Michael Fassbender and Ryan Gosling? Fassbender was phenomenal in Shame. Words cannot describe how great he was. And Gosling… while I confess I’m not a fan of Drive, it is clear to see that he has become one of the most talked about actors of 2011. I mean if the American Press Association can nominate him for a Golden Globe then why they hell can’t the Academy? And where is Dominic Cooper? His performance in the Devils Double was so utterly powerful that I have since forgiven him for annoying me for a whole year with Mama Mia. And so was his other performance. He did double the amount of work any of the nominated actors did in one film and yet doesn’t even get a mention!

Best Director

Again, were is Fincher? And again, why is Terence Malick getting praise for the pretentious piece of crap that is The Tree of Life?

Best Documentary

Senna. Where. Is. Senna? Why has the academy failed to notice such an awe inspiring film and such an interesting documentary? The sheer time an effort that went into making this is unimaginable. Going through literally tons of archive footage and recordings to mash together a film that will delight, inspire and entertain as well as keep you on the edge of your seat should surely get a nomination?

Andy Serkis

This is meant for the Best Actor section but in all honesty it needs a section of it’s own. In 2001 Serkis shyly approached audiences around the world starring as Gollum/Sméagol in the first intstallment of the Lord of the Rings trilogy. Except in the first film he only really has a cameo. The tiniest taste of what was to come in The Two Towers and The Return of The King. Ever since, his career has jumped higher and higher later playing King Kong and most recently in 2011 playing the role of Caesar in Rise of the Planet of the Apes, one of the best series reboots of recent years. And yet with these roles and more in his catalogue of character roles he has never yet recieved any recognition from the Academy. With no Golden Globes, no BAFTA and still no Oscar he is on his way to becoming one of the most underappreciated actors in the awards season. It seems that just because Serkis hardly speaks in RotPotA he is unworthy of a nomination for best actor. This is a horrible mistake. Serkis was one of, if not the best actor in that whole film and he did it all by playing an ape. This deserves recognition.

 

Anyway that’s me done for now. I’ll report back next month when hopefully all my angst will have died down and I will be able to appreciate the fact that Hugo received 11 nominations and that in 2011 a silent black and white film can still get 10 nominations.